Mexico: Isaias Brings Rain to the Gulf Side While a Pacific Low Nears Depression Strength

October 7, 2026 — Update to our October 6 story. The Gulf system is now Tropical Storm Isaias. It is moving away from Mexico toward the United States, but it will bring heavy rain and rough seas to the Yucatán Peninsula and the Gulf coast through Thursday. On the Pacific side, the low off Guerrero is still not a depression.

Gulf side: Tropical Storm Isaias

Position: At 10 am CDT Wednesday, about 260 miles west-northwest of Progreso, Yucatán, moving east-northeast with 45 mph winds.
Track: The US National Hurricane Center expects it to pass north of the Yucatán Peninsula on Thursday and reach the US Gulf Coast on Friday.
Watches for Mexico: None were in effect in the advisories we read.
Rain: The Hurricane Center forecasts 2 to 4 inches for the Yucatán through Thursday. Mexico’s weather service, quoted by Infobae, forecasts 75–150 mm for Campeche and Yucatán, 50–75 mm for Veracruz, Tamaulipas and Tabasco, and 25–50 mm for Quintana Roo.
Wind and sea: Gusty winds are possible on parts of the peninsula on Thursday. Swells will bring dangerous surf and rip currents to its western and northern coasts.
Ports: El Informador reports the ports of Tuxpan and Tecolutla closed, and a state weather alert in Veracruz.

Pacific side

System	Where	Formation odds	Outlook
Low EP92	About 335 km south-southwest of Acapulco	90% in 48 hours	Depression expected within a day or so; moving slowly west-northwest
Second area	South of Guatemala	Near 0% in 48 hours, 30% in 7 days	A low may form early next week
Hurricane Rachel	About 775 miles west of Baja California’s southern tip	Active hurricane	No threat to land; weakening

The second area’s seven-day odds rose from 20% to 30%. Rain and high surf continue for Guerrero, Oaxaca and Chiapas. No watches or warnings are in effect on the Pacific coast.

What it means for travelers

No airport closures or flight cancellations in Mexico were found in today’s reports.
Mérida, Campeche and Veracruz: Expect heavy rain and possible delays through Thursday.
Cancún and the Riviera Maya are on the lighter edge of the rain forecast. Flights are not reported affected.
Stay out of the water on the Gulf-facing beaches of Yucatán and Campeche while the swell lasts. Small-boat trips may be cancelled.
Acapulco, Huatulco and Puerto Escondido: Watch for the Pacific low to be named. Flooded roads are the main risk.
Connecting through the US Gulf Coast on Friday or Saturday? See our United States story. Cancellations there will fill other flights.